Excelsior Financial Editorial – May 2022

The Fed conundrum Last week, US GDP fell at an annual rate of 1.4% which was worse than forecast. At the same time, the US just like the rest of the world is facing very high inflation and with no meaningful drop in sight, at least in the short term.  As a result, the...

EXCELSIOR Financial Editorial – April 2022

Recession looming? You may have heard lately that the two and ten-year yield curves have inverted and that it’s an indication a recession is coming. What it means in short is that the bond market isn’t buying the idea that the Fed is going to be able to engineer a...

EXCELSIOR Financial Editorial – March 2022

Quick take on the war in Ukraine: The economic sanctions inflicted on Russia have led to dramatic price increases in all commodities. Oil and natural gas have hit multi year highs while food staples such as wheat have smashed record highs.  This leaves the world with...

EXCELSIOR Financial Editorial – February 2022

Making sense of the recent market downturn: US stock markets have had a tough month of January. In fact, the worst start to the year since the financial crisis.  The main drivers of this negative sentiment are rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime...

EXCELSIOR Financial Editorial – december 2021

New spanner in the works: On Friday 26th of November as the first news of the Omicron strain emerged, US markets had their worst day in a year.  Furthermore, oil plunged 16% in only a few days, after several countries announced travel bans for South Africa where the...

EXCELSIOR Financial Editorial – november 2021

Central bank shift? In a major shift following the pandemic and the unleashing of liquidity across the world, several central banks have signaled an end to quantitative easing and more importantly decided to raise interest rates.  Canada, Australia, the UK and several...